Supergirl Opening Weekend Box Office Prediction

Will Supergirl reach $45 million in its North American opening weekend?

Event Snapshot

This is a short-window opening-weekend threshold market for Supergirl in North America. Users search opening box office, weekend expectations, word-of-mouth lift, and whether the film can reach $45M, all of which can be verified through public box-office sources.

Market Background

Superhero openings naturally carry strong search demand. Users do not just follow the film itself; they search presales, critic reaction, first-day pace, and comps versus similar titles. Turning that into a clear box-office line makes the page both discussable and verifiable.

Latest Developments

  • 2026-07-05 | Box Office Mojo | The North America weekend chart remains the primary result surface
    For an opening-weekend question, the key is a consistent weekend total. A standard box-office page makes the $45M threshold easy to judge.
    Open source
  • 2026-07-05 | The Numbers | Day-one pace and hold expectations shape the weekend line
    An opening weekend is not just an inflated Friday number. Saturday and Sunday trends matter, and public charts help users understand whether the line is truly in reach.
    Open source
  • 2026-07-05 | HiYesNo | A clean $45M threshold works better than vague box-office debate
    Compressing attention into a fixed threshold gives the page a fuller judgment structure instead of a one-line question.
    Open source

Decision Criteria

  • Yes: an authoritative North America box-office source confirms that Supergirl reaches or exceeds $45M in opening weekend gross.
  • No: by July 8, 2026 12:59 Beijing Time, the authoritative opening-weekend total still remains below $45M.
  • Other: the counting method, film object, or reporting page changes materially, making the result non-comparable or unverifiable.

Timeline And Key Nodes

  • Observation window: through July 8, 2026 12:59 Beijing Time.
  • Yes trigger: any authoritative weekend snapshot shows $45M or more.
  • No trigger: every reviewable weekend snapshot before the deadline stays below $45M.

Key Indicators

  • North America weekend pages on Box Office Mojo and The Numbers.
  • Presales, Friday pace, and weekend acceleration.
  • Any release-date shift, metric change, or page-object replacement.

Related Markets

FAQ

  • Is this opening weekend or a five-day total?
    It follows the agreed North America opening-weekend total only.
  • Must it still be above $45M at the deadline?
    No. One authoritative weekend snapshot at or above the line is enough.
  • Why keep Other?
    To cover edge cases where the metric or film object changes materially.

This page organizes public information, verifiable paths, and active discussion points. It is not a HiYesNo prediction, and the final outcome still follows the listed resolution rules.

  • >= $45M
  • No
  • Other

Event Details

Predict whether Supergirl reaches $45M in North American opening weekend box office.

Outcomes

  • >= $45M 34%
  • No 33%
  • Other 33%

Resolution Rules

This market resolves to ">= $45M" if Supergirl's North American domestic opening-weekend box office gross is at least US$45,000,000 according to Box Office Mojo, The Numbers, or an official studio/theater-gross source. It resolves to "No" if the comparable opening-weekend domestic gross is below US$45,000,000. It resolves to "Other" if the North American theatrical release is canceled, delayed beyond July 7, 2026, not reported in a comparable opening-weekend format, or if no reliable official/commercial box-office source publishes the figure by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time. Previews included in the standard domestic opening weekend count if the source includes them. This rule is objectively verifiable and covers 100% of possible outcomes.

Related Markets

Prediction Academy

Case Studies

Trading Strategies

Help Center