メイプルストーリー劇場版は韓国で10万人を突破する?
『メイプルストーリー』劇場版の韓国累積観客数は6月末までに10万人を超える?
イベント概要
This market tracks whether the MapleStory movie reaches 100,000 cumulative admissions in Korea by the end of June. It works well because Korean box-office data are public and admission thresholds map naturally to entertainment search behavior.
市場背景
Film admissions and box-office milestones are among the steadiest result-driven entertainment topics. For a game-IP adaptation, users also search sentiment, fan conversion, opening trajectory, and whether the movie truly crossed a symbolic audience line. That gives the page both movie-news value and IP fandom search depth.
最新動向
- 2026-06-27 | KOBIS | The Korean Film Council system remains the primary admissions source
Whether the film clears 100,000 admissions ultimately depends on the public cumulative KOBIS count.
参照先を開く - 2026-06-27 | Naver Movies | Local movie discussion keeps attention on opening momentum and reception
Users want more than the number; they want to know whether the adaptation has real breakout traction.
参照先を開く - 2026-06-27 | The Korea Herald | Media box-office coverage sharpens the milestone story
Once admissions approach a threshold, the milestone itself becomes part of the headline and search intent.
参照先を開く
判断基準
- YES: KOBIS or another authoritative public source shows cumulative admissions of at least 100,000.
- NO: the cumulative count remains below 100,000 by the end of June.
- OTHER: box-office reporting fails, release plans change materially, or the admissions total cannot be verified.
時間線と主要ポイント
- Observation window: until the page deadline on July 1, 2026 Beijing Time.
- YES node: the public cumulative count passes 100,000.
- NO node: the final verifiable cumulative count stays below the threshold.
- OTHER node: data interruption, unusual release treatment, or broken counting method.
重要観測指標
- Daily and cumulative admissions on KOBIS.
- Local media tracking of the first week and follow-through momentum.
- Whether IP fandom discussion converts into real cinema attendance.
関連市場
- Dai Dai は2026年ワールドカップ決勝ハーフタイムショーで披露されるか?
- My Universe は2026年ワールドカップ決勝ハーフタイムショーで披露されるか?
- PepsiCo は次回決算説明会で「tariff」に言及するか?
よくある質問
- Does this use revenue or admissions?
It follows cumulative admissions, not revenue. - If the count lands exactly on 100,000, is that YES?
Yes. Reaching the threshold is enough. - Why do milestone film markets have SEO value?
Because users naturally search whether a movie breaks a visible audience line.
上記は公開情報、検証可能な経路、議論の焦点を整理したものであり、HiYesNo の予想ではありません。最終結果はページ上の判定ルールに従います。
- はい
- いいえ
Event Details
Nexonのメイプルストーリー劇場版が6月末までに韓国累積観客10万人へ到達するか予想。
- Status: settled
- Volume: 0
- Liquidity: 0
Final Result
はい
Outcomes
- はい 50%
- いいえ 50%
Resolution Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the cumulative nationwide theatrical admissions in South Korea for Nexon's MapleStory theatrical film released on June 14, 2026, reach or exceed 100,000 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM Korea Standard Time. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."
The qualifying film is the MapleStory-branded theatrical release promoted by Nexon for its June 14, 2026 Korean opening. If KOBIS displays an extended subtitle or alternate spacing for the same film, that listing will be used. Admissions for unrelated MapleStory events, rereleases of other films, streaming views, concerts, and promotional screenings not included in the official nationwide admissions total do not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be the Korean Film Council's KOBIS box office database. Official Nexon statements and credible Korean box office reporting may be used only to identify the correct KOBIS film listing or confirm a corrected total.
予測学院
ケーススタディ
- 選挙予測:世論調査、市場価格、判定
- ポルトガルは2026年W杯でスペインを下して勝ち上がるか?:勝ち上がりの道筋、注目要因、市場の見方
- アルゼンチンは2026年W杯でエジプトを下して勝ち上がるか?:勝ち上がりの道筋、注目要因、市場の見方
- 2026年W杯 ポルトガル対スペインの結果は?:結果市場で見るべき要因
- メキシコは2026年ワールドカップでイングランドに勝ち抜いて次へ進むか?:勝ち上がりの道筋、注目要因、市場の見方
- ブラジルは2026年ワールドカップでノルウェーに勝ち抜いて次へ進むか?:勝ち上がりの道筋、注目要因、市場の見方
- アメリカは2026年ワールドカップでベルギーに勝ち抜いて次へ進むか?:勝ち上がりの道筋、注目要因、市場の見方
- 2026ワールドカップ スイス vs コロンビア の結果は?:結果市場で見るべき要因
- 2026江蘇省都市サッカーリーグ 徐州 vs 南通の結果は?:地域サッカー結果市場の見方
- ウィンブルドン市場観察:ドロー・芝・注目点