郁江・貴港44.0m予想 | 広西洪水

Event Details

広西の洪水局面で、郁江・貴港観測点が44.0mに届くかを追うイベントです。

Outcomes

  • はい 50%
  • いいえ 50%
  • その他 1%

Resolution Rules

This market resolves to "Yes" if the official Guigang hydrology gauge on the Yujiang River reaches or exceeds 44.0 meters at any point on or before July 8, 2026, 11:59 PM Beijing Time. It resolves to "No" if the official gauge remains below 44.0 meters through that deadline. If the official station basis changes materially, the data feed becomes unavailable and cannot be independently verified from official notices, or the authorities replace the gauge with no clear like-for-like mapping, this market resolves to "Other." Primary resolution sources are official hydrology, water resources or emergency management notices that specify the Guigang station level.

予測学院

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戦略センター

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