메이플스토리 극장판 관객 10만 명 돌파 예측

메이플스토리 극장판이 6월 30일까지 한국 누적 관객 10만 명을 돌파할까?

이벤트 소개

This market tracks whether the MapleStory movie reaches 100,000 cumulative admissions in Korea by the end of June. It works well because Korean box-office data are public and admission thresholds map naturally to entertainment search behavior.

시장 배경

Film admissions and box-office milestones are among the steadiest result-driven entertainment topics. For a game-IP adaptation, users also search sentiment, fan conversion, opening trajectory, and whether the movie truly crossed a symbolic audience line. That gives the page both movie-news value and IP fandom search depth.

최신 동향

  • 2026-06-27 | KOBIS | The Korean Film Council system remains the primary admissions source
    Whether the film clears 100,000 admissions ultimately depends on the public cumulative KOBIS count.
    출처 열기
  • 2026-06-27 | Naver Movies | Local movie discussion keeps attention on opening momentum and reception
    Users want more than the number; they want to know whether the adaptation has real breakout traction.
    출처 열기
  • 2026-06-27 | The Korea Herald | Media box-office coverage sharpens the milestone story
    Once admissions approach a threshold, the milestone itself becomes part of the headline and search intent.
    출처 열기

판단 기준

  • YES: KOBIS or another authoritative public source shows cumulative admissions of at least 100,000.
  • NO: the cumulative count remains below 100,000 by the end of June.
  • OTHER: box-office reporting fails, release plans change materially, or the admissions total cannot be verified.

타임라인과 핵심 포인트

  • Observation window: until the page deadline on July 1, 2026 Beijing Time.
  • YES node: the public cumulative count passes 100,000.
  • NO node: the final verifiable cumulative count stays below the threshold.
  • OTHER node: data interruption, unusual release treatment, or broken counting method.

핵심 관찰 지표

  • Daily and cumulative admissions on KOBIS.
  • Local media tracking of the first week and follow-through momentum.
  • Whether IP fandom discussion converts into real cinema attendance.

관련 시장

자주 묻는 질문

  • Does this use revenue or admissions?
    It follows cumulative admissions, not revenue.
  • If the count lands exactly on 100,000, is that YES?
    Yes. Reaching the threshold is enough.
  • Why do milestone film markets have SEO value?
    Because users naturally search whether a movie breaks a visible audience line.

위 내용은 공개 정보, 검증 가능한 경로, 현재 쟁점을 정리한 것이며 HiYesNo의 예측이 아닙니다. 최종 결과는 페이지의 정산 규칙을 따릅니다.

  • 아니오

Event Details

넥슨 메이플스토리 극장판이 6월 말까지 한국 누적 관객 10만 명에 도달할지 예측하세요.

Final Result

Outcomes

  • 50%
  • 아니오 50%

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the cumulative nationwide theatrical admissions in South Korea for Nexon's MapleStory theatrical film released on June 14, 2026, reach or exceed 100,000 by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM Korea Standard Time. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

The qualifying film is the MapleStory-branded theatrical release promoted by Nexon for its June 14, 2026 Korean opening. If KOBIS displays an extended subtitle or alternate spacing for the same film, that listing will be used. Admissions for unrelated MapleStory events, rereleases of other films, streaming views, concerts, and promotional screenings not included in the official nationwide admissions total do not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be the Korean Film Council's KOBIS box office database. Official Nexon statements and credible Korean box office reporting may be used only to identify the correct KOBIS film listing or confirm a corrected total.

예측 아카데미

사례 연구

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