Resolution Rules

This market will resolve according to the first date on which Anthropic restores general public access to Claude Fable 5 after the access suspension announced on June 12, 2026.

Access will be considered restored when ordinary paying customers, without invitation, case-by-case approval, or participation in a private preview program, can successfully use the official claude-fable-5 model through at least one generally available Anthropic commercial product, such as the Claude API or Claude.ai. The product must be available to ordinary customers in the United States and at least one jurisdiction outside the United States. A public announcement without working access, a waitlist, an invitation-only program, internal testing, research access, Project Glasswing access, access limited to selected organizations, or availability of Claude Mythos 5 alone will not qualify.

The outcome windows use Pacific Time and are inclusive: "By June 30" means restoration on or before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM PT; "July 1-15" means from July 1 through July 15; "July 16-31" means from July 16 through July 31; "August-September" means from August 1 through September 30; and "October-December" means from October 1 through December 31. If qualifying access is not restored by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT, the market will resolve to "Not restored in 2026."

Temporary technical outages after a qualifying restoration will not change the result. The primary resolution sources will be Anthropic's official announcements, Claude API documentation, model availability pages, and Anthropic status information. Successful independent access tests and consensus reporting from established technology publications may be used to confirm that ordinary customers can actually use the model.