Cold War 1994 China Opening Weekend Box Office Prediction

Will Cold War 1994 exceed CNY 100 million in its mainland China opening weekend?

Event Snapshot

This is a verifiable event page built around 'Will Cold War 1994 exceed CNY 100 million in its mainland China opening weekend?'. Users search the official result, timing, key data points, and the announcement path, while the final resolution depends on clearly defined sources and rules.

Market Background

Box-office threshold events naturally fit long-tail content because users search opening weekends, cumulative pace, word-of-mouth hold, and whether a target gets crossed. Once the counting window and metric are clear, the page can capture both heat and settlement cleanly.

Latest Developments

  • 2026-07-05 | Maoyan | The official page remains the most important result surface
    This kind of event ultimately comes back to the official result, filing, or authoritative confirmation itself rather than scattered rumor or unverified screenshots.
    Open source
  • 2026-07-05 | Beacon / official distributor updates | User search usually clusters around background variables and key signals
    Beyond the final result, users keep searching the timeline, progress, official wording, counting method, and edge conditions, which is where the page gains real reading value.
    Open source
  • 2026-07-05 | HiYesNo | A clear result question works better than vague chatter as a prediction entry point
    Compressing a live topic into one verifiable result lets the page capture search demand while helping users understand the market boundary quickly.
    Open source

Decision Criteria

  • Yes: if official or authoritative sources confirm that the event outcome matches this option under the market rules.
  • No: if official or authoritative sources confirm that the outcome does not satisfy the prior option and instead matches this option under the rules.

Timeline And Key Nodes

  • Observation window: through December 31, 2026 23:59 Beijing Time.
  • Key trigger: the first official result, filing, announcement, or authoritative statistic that satisfies one option definition.
  • Non-trigger path: by the end of the window, all reviewable official sources still fail to satisfy the relevant condition.

Key Indicators

  • Official result pages, filings, announcements, or data releases from Maoyan.
  • Parallel updates, methodology notes, or backup confirmation from Beacon / official distributor updates.
  • Publication timing, revisions, metric boundaries, and whether any exception appears.

Related Markets

FAQ

  • Why does this event work as a prediction content page?
    Because users search the result, timing, official wording, and edge cases directly, and those can be structured clearly.
  • Does the description replace the settlement rules?
    No. The description explains context and observation paths, while the formal rules still control the final result.
  • Why keep a second source?
    It helps with cross-checking, timeline confirmation, and public methodology context.

This page organizes public information, verifiable paths, and active discussion points. It is not a HiYesNo prediction, and the final outcome still follows the listed resolution rules.

  • Yes
  • No

Event Details

Predict whether Cold War 1994 will exceed CNY 100 million during its mainland China opening weekend.

Outcomes

  • Yes 50%
  • No 50%

Resolution Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the cumulative mainland China box office gross for the film "Cold War 1994" (Chinese title: "寒战1994") exceeds CNY 100,000,000 by 11:59 PM China Standard Time on the Sunday of its first standard theatrical weekend in mainland China. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No."

The first standard theatrical weekend means Friday through Sunday following the film's first nationwide commercial theatrical release in mainland China. Preview screenings before the nationwide release are included in the cumulative gross displayed by the primary source. If the film is not commercially released in mainland China by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source will be Maoyan Professional Edition. EntGroup, China Film Administration data, and consensus reporting from major Chinese entertainment media may be used if Maoyan data is unavailable or materially disputed.

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