The King's Warden Korea Admissions Prediction

Will The King's Warden reach 17 million admissions in South Korea by July 31?

Event Snapshot

This is a box-office threshold market on whether The King's Warden can reach 17 million cumulative admissions in Korea by July 31, 2026. Users search admissions, weekend momentum, hold strength, and Korean box-office milestones, all verifiable through public data platforms.

Market Background

Korean admissions thresholds make strong long-tail content pages because users search cumulative admissions, milestone pace, record-chasing context, and whether the run still has more room. A 17M line carries both news value and a clean settlement boundary.

Latest Developments

  • 2026-07-05 | KOFIC | KOFIC remains the core source for cumulative admissions
    This market is settled not by discussion heat but by cumulative admissions in Korea’s public box-office system. Once the public figure reaches the line, the result becomes clear.
    Open source
  • 2026-07-05 | KOFIC | Weekend hold and weekday drop determine the pace toward the line
    Admissions do not jump in one move. They are built through weekend volume and weekday stability, which is why users keep following the curve.
    Open source
  • 2026-07-05 | HiYesNo | A clean '17M or not' line works better than vague popularity talk
    A fixed threshold lets the page cover popularity, record-tracking, and settlement path in one fuller reading flow.
    Open source

Decision Criteria

  • Yes: an authoritative Korean box-office source confirms that The King's Warden reaches or exceeds 17M admissions.
  • No: by August 1, 2026 12:59 Beijing Time, the authoritative cumulative admissions figure still remains below 17M admissions.
  • Other: the counting method, film object, or cumulative reporting page changes materially, making the result non-comparable or unverifiable.

Timeline And Key Nodes

  • Observation window: through August 1, 2026 12:59 Beijing Time.
  • Yes trigger: any authoritative cumulative snapshot shows 17M admissions or more.
  • No trigger: every reviewable snapshot before the deadline stays below 17M admissions.

Key Indicators

  • KOFIC/KOBIS cumulative admissions pages.
  • Weekend hold, weekday drops, and record-chasing pace.
  • Any page-object replacement, re-release merge, or metric-definition change.

Related Markets

FAQ

  • Does this use revenue or admissions?
    It follows Korean cumulative admissions only.
  • Must it still be above 17M at the deadline?
    No. One authoritative cumulative snapshot at or above the line is enough.
  • Why keep Other?
    To cover edge cases where the metric or page object changes materially.

This page organizes public information, verifiable paths, and active discussion points. It is not a HiYesNo prediction, and the final outcome still follows the listed resolution rules.

  • >= 17M admissions
  • No
  • Other

Event Details

Predict whether The King's Warden reaches 17M admissions in South Korea by July 31.

Outcomes

  • >= 17M admissions 34%
  • No 33%
  • Other 33%

Resolution Rules

This market resolves to ">= 17M admissions" if KOFIC/KOBIS reports The King's Warden with at least 17,000,000 cumulative admissions in South Korea by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Korea Standard Time. It resolves to "No" if the comparable cumulative admissions figure is below 17,000,000 at that time. It resolves to "Other" if the film is not released theatrically in South Korea by the deadline, if KOFIC/KOBIS does not publish a comparable admissions figure by August 1, 2026, or if the title/data cannot be reliably matched because of a material title or release change. The primary source is KOFIC/KOBIS official data. This rule is objectively verifiable and covers 100% of possible outcomes.

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