Will China's National Meteorological Center issue a red warning for Typhoon Bavi by July 10? | HiYesNo

Event Details

Typhoon Bavi entered Chinese hot lists because of intensity and track questions. The cleanest prediction is whether the official warning level reaches red.

Outcomes

  • Yes 50%
  • No 50%
  • Other 1%

Resolution Rules

This market resolves to "Yes" if the China National Meteorological Center issues a typhoon red warning that explicitly applies to Typhoon Bavi on or before July 10, 2026, 23:59 Beijing Time. It resolves to "No" if no such red warning is issued by the deadline. It resolves to "Other" if Bavi is renamed, merged, downgraded out of the warning system, or official warning pages become unavailable so the alert status cannot be verified. The primary resolution source is the official or authoritative source named in this market description, with credible media used only to confirm the same public record.

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