Will Gao County, Sichuan record another M4.0+ earthquake by July 10? | HiYesNo

Event Details

After two M5.0 quakes in Gao County, the immediate public question is whether notable aftershocks continue. This market does not judge damage; it only chec

Outcomes

  • Yes 50%
  • No 50%
  • Other 1%

Resolution Rules

This market resolves to "Yes" if CENC records another earthquake with magnitude 4.0 or greater whose official epicenter is in Gao County, Yibin, Sichuan, on or before July 10, 2026, 23:59 Beijing Time. It resolves to "No" if no such official CENC record appears by the deadline. It resolves to "Other" if CENC materially revises the location basis so the event cannot be mapped to Gao County, or official data is unavailable in the resolution window. The primary resolution source is the official or authoritative source named in this market description, with credible media used only to confirm the same public record.

Prediction Academy

Case Studies

Trading Strategies

Help Center