Will Tokyo reach 35°C or higher by July 13? | HiYesNo
Event Details
Event Snapshot
East Asia heat remains a weather search topic. Whether Tokyo reaches a very hot day is locally relevant and verifiable through official observations.
Market Background
Weather events settle quickly with official station data. A 35°C threshold is clearer and more searchable than generic heat-wave language.
Latest Developments
- 2026-07-10 | East Asia heat forecast | East Asia summer heat remains in focus
Recent discussion around East Asian summer heat keeps Japan, Korea and eastern China in weather-search focus.
Open source
Decision Criteria
- YES: JMA official Tokyo observation reaches 35.0°C or higher.
- NO: Tokyo's official maximum temperature does not reach 35.0°C by July 13.
- OTHER: the match is canceled, abandoned, replayed outside the listed window, or no official result can be verified by settlement time.
Timeline And Key Nodes
- Window: July 10 through July 13.
Key Indicators
- Japan Meteorological Agency observations.
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FAQ
- Why is this suitable for prediction?
It has a defined window, public sources and a verifiable outcome. - Does HiYesNo call the result early?
No. The page organizes context, updates and rules; settlement follows public evidence. - What if official data is delayed?
The English resolution rules decide whether to wait for evidence or use Other.
This page organizes public information, verifiable paths and debate points. It is not a HiYesNo prediction; the English resolution rules control the final outcome.
- Status: open
- Volume: 0
- Liquidity: 0
Outcomes
- Yes 34%
- No 33%
- Other 33%
Resolution Rules
This market resolves to Yes if the Japan Meteorological Agency official Tokyo observation records a maximum temperature of 35.0°C or higher at any time from July 10 through July 13, 2026 JST. It resolves to No if the official maximum remains below 35.0°C through the window. It resolves to Other if official data is unavailable or cannot be verified by July 14, 2026 11:59 Beijing Time.
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